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2021 Oscar Predictions:

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NEW YORK – FEBRUARY 12: Oscar Statues are displayed at the 2007 “Meet the Oscars” presented by the Academy of Motion Pictures Arts and Sciences on February 12, 2007 in New York City. (Photo by Bryan Bedder/Getty Images)

Just like Schitt’s Creeks very own Moira Rose, my favourite season is awards season and we are nearing the end of the strangest and most unpredictable awards season we have ever seen. The season is culminating with the 93rd Academy Awards (25th April 2021). In this article, I will be giving a run down of the all of the nominations and who I think will take home the biggest prizes come Oscar night (and if given the choice who I would hand the Oscars out to.
*DISCLAIMER: I have only predicted the categories for which I have seen the nominations.*

Best Picture:

Nominations: The Father, Judas and the Black Messiah, Mank, Minari, Nomadland, Promising Young Woman, Sound of Metal, The Trial of the Chicago 7.

Nomadland looks on course to take the Best Picture Oscar.

2020 was an awful year for many factors of peoples lives, however it was a very good year for film. This is one of the best lineups for Best Picture in recent memory. Nomadland is the clear frontrunner with Promising Young Woman, The Trial of the Chicago 7 and Minari looking to be its closest competitors.

PREDICTED WINNER- NOMADLAND
MY CHOICE- NOMADLAND

Best Director:

Nominations: Chloe Zhao, David Fincher, Emerald Fennell, Lee Isaac Chung, Thomas Vinterberg.

Chloe Zhao has so far stormed awards season.

When the nominations were announced, Thomas Vinterberg (Another Round) earning a nomination was my favourite surprise nomination of all the nominations, along with Emerald Fennell (Promsing Young Woman), although that wasn’t much of a surprise! However, I can’t look much further than Chloe Zhao (Nomadland) becoming only the second woman to ever take home the Best Director award.

PREDICTED WINNER: CHLOE ZHAO
MY CHOICE: CHLOE ZHAO

Best Actress:

Nominations: Andra Day, Carey Mulligan, Frances McDormand, Vanessa Kirby, Viola Davis.

Carey Mulligan shines in Promising Young Woman.

This category has been completely blown wide open. Each of these actresses would be worthy of taking home the Oscar with each delivering fantastic performances and I would be happy with any of them winning. Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman) looked to be the early frontrunner however with Viola Davis (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom) taking home the SAG Award, Andra Day (The United States VS Billie Holliday) winning the Golden Globe and only Frances McDormand (Nomadland) and Vanessa Kirby (Pieces of a Woman) up for BAFTA, this category certainly does have a spanner in the works for many.

PREDICTED WINNER- VIOLA DAVIS
MY CHOICE- CAREY MULLIGAN

Best Actor:

Nominations: Anthony Hopkins, Chadwick Boseman, Gary Oldman, Riz Ahmed, Steven Yeun.

Chadwick Boseman looks certain to win the award for Best Actor.

All three of Gary Oldman (Mank), Steven Yeun (Minari) and Riz Ahmed (Sound of Metal) are all fantastic in their films this year and are fully deserving of their Oscar nominations however none are in with a look in, in my opinion. Despite Anthony Hopkins (The Father) producing the best performance of the year with a crushing and heartbreaking portrayal of a man with dementia, this looks like Chadwick Boseman’s (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom) Oscar to lose.

PREDICTED WINNER: CHADWICK BOSEMAN
MY CHOICE: ANTHONY HOPKINS

Best Supporting Actress:

Nominations: Amanda Seyfried, Glenn Close, Maria Bakalova, Olivia Colman, Yuh-Jung Youn.

Olivia Colman could take her home her second Oscar in two years.

For me this is the hardest category to predict for this year with no clear frontrunner. Jodie Foster (The Mauritanian) took home the Golden Globe in this category and she isn’t even nominated for the Oscar. Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm) and Yuh-Jung Youn (Minari) are the only two nominated in this category at the BAFTA’s. Despite Amanda Seyfried dazzling in Mank, I can’t see her being in the running. Glenn Close (Hillbilly Elegy) is fully deserving of an Oscar however this again won’t be her year. That leaves Maria Bakolava, Olivia Colman (The Father) and Yuh-Jung Youn- it could really be any of them!

PREDICTED WINNER: YUH-JUNG YOUN
MY CHOICE: OLIVIA COLMAN

Best Supporting Actor:

Predictions: Daniel Kaluuya, Lakeith Stanfield, Leslie Odom Jr, Paul Raci, Sacha Baron Cohen.

Daniel Kaluuyas win looks set in stone.

One of the most fun Best Supporting Actor categories in recent memory, all are deserving to win the Oscar. The standout of them all however is Daniel Kaluuya (Judas and the Black Messiah). It’s his award to lose.

PREDICTED WINNER: DANIEL KALUUYA
MY CHOICE: DANIEL KALUUYA

Best Animated Feature:

Nominations: A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon, Onward, Over the Moon, Soul, Wolfwalkers.

Soul debuted on Disney+ to rave reviews from critics and audience alike.

There was some talk at the start of awards season that Soul could be in line for a Best Picture nod. This hasn’t happened however I think it is a shoo-in to take home the Best Animated Feature prize. It will have some strong competition from Onward and Wolfwalkers however it is likely to be a favourite amongst the Academy voters.

PREDICTED WINNER: SOUL
MY CHOICE: WOLFWALKERS

Best International Feature:

Nominations: Another Round, Better Days, Collective, The Man Who Sold His Skin, Quo Vadis, Aida?

Another Round (Denmark) looks to be the clear frontrunner.

Like Parastite last year, Another Round looks certain to take home the Best International Feature award, and deservedly so. It’s easily one of my favourite watches from last year. Quo Vadis, Aida? could provide some competition however Thomas Vinterberg’s nod for Best Director looks to have all but sealed the win.

PREDICTED WINNER: ANOTHER ROUND
MY CHOICE: ANOTHER ROUND

Best Adapted Screenplay:

Nominations: Borat Subsequent Moviefilm, Nomadland, One Night in Miami, The Father, The White Tiger.

Sacha Baron Cohen is nominated for the second time in this category, once again for Borat.

The screenplay categories always plays a pivotal role in predicting who will take home the Best Picture award and this year could be no different. Nomadland looks to be the clear frontrunner with The Father picking up some momentum. Whilst Nomadland is a fantastic piece of filmmaking, the screenplay is not it’s biggest plus point, whereas The Father relies heavily on its dialogue. Borat Subsequent Moviefilm could make a late rally, it’s probably Sacha Baron Cohen’s best chance of taking an award come Oscars night.

PREDICTED WINNER: NOMADLAND
MY CHOICE: THE FATHER

Best Original Screenplay:

Nominations: Judas and the Black Messiah, Minari, Promising Young Woman, Sound of Metal, The Trial of the Chicago 7.

Best Original Screenplay could be the best opportunity for Minari to take home an award.

Possibly the most wide open and heavily contested category. Each of these screenplays would be a worthy winner. Emerald Fennell (Promising Young Woman) looks set to be in the lead, and rightfully so, however Minari is breathing down its neck. You can also never rule out an Aaron Sorkin screenplay (The Trial of the Chicago 7) to be a favourite amongst the Academy voters.

PREDICTED WINNER: PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN
MY CHOICE: PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN

Best Cinematography:
Nominations: Judas and the Black Messiah, Mank, News of the World, NOMADLAND (PREDICTED WINNER+MY CHOICE), The Trial of the Chicago 7.

Best Editing:
Nominations: THE FATHER (MY CHOICE), Nomadland, Promising Young Woman, Sound of Metal, THE TRIAL OF THE CHICAGO 7 (PREDICTED WINNER). 

Best Production Design:
Nominations: The Father, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom, MANK (PREDICTED WINNER+MY CHOICE), News of the World, Tenet.

Best Visual Effects:
Nominations: Love and Monsters, Mulan, TENET (PREDICTED WINNER+MY CHOICE), The Midnight Sky, The One and Only Ivan.

Original Score:
Nominations: Da 5 Bloods, Mank, MINARI (MY CHOICE), News of the World, SOUL (PREDICTED WINNER). *TENET WAS ROBBED OF A NOMINATION*

Original Song:
Nominations: Fight For You: Judas and the Black Messiah, HEAR MY VOICE: THE TRIAL OF THE CHICAGO 7 (MY CHOICE) Husavik: Eurovision Song Contest, Io Si: The Life Ahead, SPEAK NOW: ONE NIGHT IN MIAMI (PREDICTED WINNER).

Best Sound:
Nominations: Greyhound, Mank, News of the World, SOUL (MY CHOICE), SOUND OF METAL (PREDICTED WINNER).

Best Costume Design:
Nominations: EMMA (MY CHOICE), MA RAINEY’S BLACK BOTTOM (PREDICTED WINNER), Mank, Mulan, Pinocchio.

Best Makeup and Hairstyling:
Nominations: Emma, Hillbilly Elegy, MA RAINEY’S BLACK BOTTOM (MY CHOICE+PREDICTED WINNER), Mank, Pinocchio.

FILM RATING

23 years old-Manchester-Film Studies Graduate-Qualified Film and Media Teacher-Meryl Streep, Cate Blanchett and Olivia Colman enthusiast. Check out my Letterboxd for more reviews and film goodness. letterboxd.com/joelhowarth

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“Five thousand years ago, Kahndaq was a melting pot of cultures, wealth, power, and magic. Yet, most of us have nothing, except for the chains around our necks. Kahndaq needed a hero, instead, they got me. I did what needed to be done and they imprisoned me for it. Now, five thousand years later, I’m free and I give you my word… No one will ever stop me again.”

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Five thousand years ago, Kahndaq was a melting pot of cultures, wealth, power, and magic. Yet, most of us have nothing, except for the chains around our necks. Kahndaq needed a hero, instead, they got me. I did what needed to be done and they imprisoned me for it. Now, five thousand years later, I’m free and I give you my word… No one will ever stop me again.Black Adam

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